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February 22, 2011 / TerranceTheTrailerTrasher

Oscar Prediction: No Best Picture This Year

Associated Press reports that “Hollywood rarely crowns British monarchy at Oscars.” They believe front-runner THE KING’S SPEECH has little chance of winning Best Picture because no previous Best Picture winner had a Bristish monarch as its central figure. Although they found two Best Picture winners with a Royal as a supporting character, they list seven films that had a king or queen in the lead that lost the top prize, including 1998’s ELIZABETH and 2006’s THE QUEEN.

On a related note, the number of previous Best Picture winners where the lead character was…

A ballet dancer: ZERO (THE RED SHOES and THE TURNING POINT lost)

A software developer: ZERO (no previous Best Picture nominees with a lead character of this type)

A professional who enters other people’s dreams: ZERO (no nominations for DREAMSCAPE and only a makeup nod for THE CELL)

A male Irish-American boxer: ZERO (ROCKY was Italian and MILLION DOLLAR BABY was a woman, while FAR AND AWAY wasn’t nominated)

A married lesbian couple: ZERO (not sure if Miss Daisy was gay, but I also don’t recall her being married to, like, a Miss Dandelion or something)

A mountain climber: ZERO (BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN lost)

A toy: ZERO (THE TIN DRUM won in the foreign film category, not Best Picture)

Rooster Cogburn: ZERO (John Wayne won for Best Actor but the film was not nominated for Best Picture and the sequel, ROOSTER COGBURN, received no nominations)

A bounty hunting daughter of a missing bail-jumping meth cook in the Ozarks: ZERO (no previous Best Picture nominees with a lead character of this type)

There you have it. Clearly this means the Academy hates all movies and there can be no Best Picture winner this year. Too bad. I was looking forward to waiting all night Sunday for that final envelope to be opened.

On the other hand, 1946 Best Picture winner THE BEST YEARS OF OUR LIVES featured a character who loses both his hands; there are two Best Picture nominees this year in which the lead character cuts off someone’s hand.

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2 Comments

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  1. thejamminjabber / Feb 23 2011 12:57 pm

    Great post. Oscar stats that actually (probably don’t) matter.

    • TerranceTheTrailerTrasher / Feb 23 2011 2:24 pm

      Thanks. By AP’s reasoning, HURT LOCKER shouldn’t have won because no movie about the Iraq war had won previously and SLUMDOG shouldn’t have won because no movie about a game show contestant ever won before, etc.

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